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Political Measures and Indigenous Technological Innovation: How Sanctions, Tariffs and Industrial Policy Accelerate or Impede Domestic R&D

Chengyu Ariana Gu, SJI International'27

October 14, 2025

Abstract

This essay analyzes how political measures such as sanctions, tariffs, and industrial policies influence indigenous technological innovation. While restrictions often shrink markets and weaken private R&D incentives, they can also drive states to mobilize resources and pursue self-reliance. Historical and contemporary cases show divergent outcomes: U.S. and Chinese policies converted external pressures into innovation through industrial investment and skilled labor, whereas Russia’s weaker institutions led to technological decline. Economic theory helps explain this contrast: the market size effect highlights short-term losses, while the induced innovation hypothesis shows how scarcity can stimulate substitutes. The essay argues that outcomes depend on policy design, institutional strength, and human capital.

Keywords: Institutional Strength, Indigenous Technological Innovation, Political Measures

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